Sumerianz Journal of Biotechnology

Online ISSN: 2617-3050
Print ISSN: 2617-3123

Quarterly Published (4 Issues Per Year)

Journal Website:


Volume 3 Issue 2 (2020)

A Simple Method for Detecting Early the Rate of Progression of COVID-19 Following Intervention in Indian Population

Authors : Prabir Chakravarty
COVID-19 (SARS-Cov-2) is spreading around the globe in a highly contagious manner. China has shown the way to halt progression of the disease by totally sealing Wuhan from rest of the country where it first appeared, but they could not prevent local spread resulting in more than 4000 deaths in a short period of time. India, taking lessons from china, ordered National Lockdown at an early stage when the positive COVID-19 cases were ~390. However, it was difficult to determine the effect of intervention on the spread of the disease. We have demonstrated for the first time a simple method for ascertaining the rate of progression of COVID-19 before and after intervention. This has appeared as a preprint (1). The study showed the after two interventions the rate of COVID-19 slowed down and maintained a flat curve when plotted in a percentage graph in a diverse population of India. Such knowledge could assist to frame further strategies to prevent community spread of COVID-19 and save human lives.

Pages: 10-13